Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 427.937898 487.348108 553.635635 633.371699 727.065635 834.129482 966.391550
2025-10-12 351.910828 432.485707 530.953807 661.395912 831.528190 1048.500540 1350.364712
2025-10-19 301.622176 389.449537 503.388878 664.457169 890.241105 1201.553411 1674.136967
2025-10-26 259.408016 347.719806 467.644319 645.970616 910.667137 1299.449195 1933.964256
2025-11-02 229.218165 317.042842 440.995688 633.473612 933.755966 1400.189114 2212.947904
2025-11-09 213.546175 304.248050 437.043407 652.041821 1004.175538 1582.409545 2659.105934
2025-11-16 195.704376 285.854798 421.997633 650.426833 1040.664346 1713.579578 3043.401082
2025-11-23 179.187057 267.503040 404.569364 641.977708 1063.252417 1822.860148 3409.349166
2025-11-30 167.554680 255.446789 395.507821 645.754220 1106.773697 1976.008761 3896.485176
2025-12-07 154.343840 239.527116 378.356084 633.097155 1117.893244 2068.468243 4276.598792
2025-12-14 144.076068 227.458689 366.341819 627.894550 1141.840849 2189.669033 4750.279405
2025-12-21 131.450811 210.364242 344.096764 601.247762 1119.771672 2211.119262 4992.273281
2025-12-28 127.531106 207.964723 347.590003 624.014559 1202.128304 2475.498458 5924.021506
2026-01-04 124.654400 207.124104 353.776633 652.804207 1301.975654 2800.831255 7129.181811
2026-01-11 118.520535 199.921311 347.513479 655.757989 1345.755916 3002.466350 8053.604911
2026-01-18 110.311539 188.297812 331.889810 637.559625 1338.827210 3076.889685 8618.177275
2026-01-25 103.568982 178.886165 319.703642 625.254517 1343.855425 3183.362681 9324.774560
2026-02-01 100.861228 176.819445 321.613483 643.537167 1425.141650 3511.583308 10913.824687
2026-02-08 96.212975 170.696556 314.912898 641.947075 1456.906754 3709.099566 12118.072316
2026-02-15 91.252655 163.620132 305.698514 633.628018 1470.220332 3856.237282 13194.832963
2026-02-22 87.840811 159.341286 301.876115 637.346432 1515.820816 4111.622345 14832.381166
2026-03-01 83.183363 152.275518 291.675839 624.883840 1515.797975 4224.484563 15913.406602
2026-03-08 79.511839 146.965407 284.806079 619.760968 1535.564445 4407.058986 17409.020731